Alright boys and girls, here's how it is: the Academy announces their nominees in two days time, but I'm going to be on the road for those two days, so I've got to speak now, or forever hold my peace. (See it's funny because I'm driving to a wedding.) This means that there are a couple last sign-posts I'm missing--the Directors Guild nominations come out later today, which are probably the most important precursor of all, but oh well. So if I'm a little less accurate than usual, that could be why. Or it could just be because this year for Oscar has been insane and silly and I've loved it. So here we go: these will be my super serious final predictions, sans commentary, allowing myself one alternate.
As far as big changes are concerned, I've moved Steve Carell into best actor for
The Big Short, which meant bumping Johnny Depp in
Black Mass out, pushed
The Danish Girl out of production design for
Mad Max: Fury Road (which was very, very silly), and changed my visual effects alternate from
Avengers to
Ant-Man, and followed a hunch I've had since October, moving
Bridge of Spies into Sound Mixing and kicking
Straight Outta Compton straight outta the category
. So not much, which is surprising considering how very not sure of all of these that I am. Oh well. Accuracy is for losers.
And I know it's silly to go on for five days about the Oscars without offering (mostly) any opinions of my own about what
should get nominated, but chalk it up to the annoying release schedules we deal with in the middle of the country. Given how long it takes some movies to ooze their way into states other than New York and California, I really can't put together a respectable top ten list until at least mid-February. But rest assured, top ten lists are coming! Rejoice! Just know for now that if I could guarantee one nomination, it'd be George Miller for best director for
Mad Max: Fury Road, and if I could prevent any nomination, it would be a toss-up between Helen Mirren's supporting actress bid for
Trumbo, Eddie Redmayne for best actor for
The Danish Girl, and Christian Bale for supporting actor for
The Big Short.
So here we go!