Sunday, February 20, 2022

Best of 2021, Part 2: Acting, Directing, Screenplays


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Probably the biggest tragedy of my life, and arguably the worst tragedy facing the nation in this trying time, is that I don't really know how to write about acting, directing, and writing. And the second biggest tragedy for me and the continental United States is that I've felt deeply compelled to remind you all of this for a decade and a half, whenever I'm tasked with stringing together a few engaging words about those very things. It's a pickle and a half, but it's my sworn duty to go ahead and eat at least half of that pickle. You don't have to call me a hero; it's enough to know that you're thinking it.

So here's the deal: I have already lost sleep giddily planning what I want to tell you about The Power of the Dog's jangly in glass-filled score, or big dumb fun space prosthetics in Space Sweepers, or why The Green Knight's costumes are absolutely essential for the survival of this (and every) species, and if me losing my shit over film crafts sounds like fun, come back tomorrow and I can guarantee you a metric truckload of lost shit. For now, however, rather than trying to get too in-depth, I'm just going to present my top 5 in each of the acting, writing, and directing categories, with some quick thoughts about the category in general. Which means that, compared to yesterday's truly punishing post, today's might only take you a few minutes to read, and I might not even have to sit, weeping, with my hands in the freezer afterward! Dreams really do come true. So let's get to it! Wild horses couldn't stop me from finishing these posts, but they'll certainly try--they're already on the doorstep, and I don't know how much longer I've got until they get in, so I'll go ahead and get started.

Note: I've scattered a few youtube clips of the performances throughout. No rhyme or reason, just whatever I felt like showing off, whenever I felt like doing it.


Best Actress
5. Mary Twala-This Is Not a Burial, It's a Resurrection
4. Renate Reinsve-The Worst Person in the World
3. Kristen Stewart-Spencer
2. Olivia Colman-The Lost Daughter
1. Penelope Cruz-Parallel Mothers

Honorable mention: Isabelle Fuhrmann-The Novice

I love Twala's dogged confidence and anger as well as Reinsve's constantly shifting sense of place and self, like she couldn't settle on a life if she tried. (I really wanted to find a clip for Mary Twala, but there's nothing at all, so here's a trailer, as this movie deserves a bigger audience--and contrary to what the trailer wants you to think, it's not a horror movie). And my girl K-Stew deserves a special shoutout--she's been great for a long time, but the bird-boned alien on a stage that she makes out of Diana is really special. Still, this category was always a death match between the final two, with Olivia Colman's inside-voice tornado of a complicated mother barely getting edged out by Cruz's even intricately detailed mother possessed by the forces of history (or maybe just by herself). Still, this is such a stellar category: if I were only picking 5 performances from the entire year (rather than 20), three of them would probably come from here.

Best Actor
5. Jim Cummings-The Beta Test
4. Udo Kier-Swan Song
3. Benedict Cumberbatch-The Power of the Dog
2
. Simon Rex-Red Rocket
1. Hidetoshi Nishijima-Drive My Car

Honorable mention: Nicolas Cage-Pig

A vaguely underpopulated category this year, at least for me, but that doesn't mean there aren't riches to be found, from Jim Cummings--arguably the best there is at high-speed mental breakdown monologues-- Udo Kier, who gets in on sheer star power and gumption alone, throwing himself at long stretches of dialogue-free work, doing drag on a dime, and fighting with Jennifer Coolidge with equal abandon. And I'll always have room in my heart for Benedict Cumberbatch's Bronco-loving, sex-rag rubbing mess of a man in Power of the Dog. Simon Rex would make a great #1 choice--his giddy amorality, the way his eyes light up when he's thinking about himself, the breakneck pace of literally every single line he says. But ultimately I stuck with Nishijima's spells of quiet, the way he delivers Uncle Vanya lines 100 times over, and absolutely for the world-shattering ending of a scene I wrote about yesterday.

Supporting Actress
5. Kirsten Dunst-The Power of the Dog
4. Dakota Johnson-The Lost Daughter
3. Harriet Sansom Harris-Licorice Pizza
2. Park Yoo-rim-Drive My Car
1. Martha Plimpton-Mass

Honorable mention: Anne Dowd-Mass

100% the most difficult category for me to decide on--more than half of that lineup I didn't even have in my top 10 five minutes ago,  but here we are. I think my dilemma stems from a huge list of great contenders (my shortlist has 31 performances on it) and a lack of the kind of head-over-heels love that I've got for performances in other categories this year. Still, who am I to deny the continued (and presumably eternal rise) of Dakota Johnson, for whom I will stan until the day she seals me in the sarcophagus of her choice, and the same goes for Kirsten Dunst, whose frozen mask of mortification and despair during the dinner party piano scene provides some of the best-acted moments of the year. Also thrilled to offer a spot to Harriet Sansom Harris--while everyone was throwing accolades at Bradley Cooper for his short but punchy work, Harris was lurking behind him with her lips bared and a twinkle in her eye. It's tempting to go whole hog for Drive My Car, and for Park Yoo-rim's contributions to that scene I keep going on about--and the subtle grace and warmth she brings to an otherwise cool movie are certainly trophy. But I'll stick with Martha Plimpton to the end, whose gargantuan final monologue hits like a truck, but who resonates just as strongly in her moments of listening and silence (of which she has many), staring like she's carving a book into the walls with her eyes.

Supporting Actor
5. Troy Kotsur-CODA
4. Chaske Spencer-Wild Indian
3. Kodi Smit-McPhee-The Power of the Dog
2. Jeffrey Wright-The French Dispatch
1. Vincent Lindon-Titane

Honorable mention: Alex Wolff-Pig

Another terribly difficult group to narrow down (and with apologies to Anders Danielsen Lie and Mike Faist), but I love the lineup I ended up with. Spencer is unmissable in a little-seen movie, nothing but nerves and pain and guilt mashed together into one slow-motion explosion. Kotsur is the opposite, a constant whirlwind of positivity, humor, and emotion--it's hard to watch any scene he's in and look anywhere else. Kodi Smit-McPhee's is one that's even more fascinating on a second watch, all the little tics, gestures, and tones (or lack thereof) that trace a thin line between what the character's performing for himself, and what he's performing for everyone else. Wright would be a satisfying winner here--why doesn't this man have an oscar, or even a nomination yet--but Lindon is an absolute force in Titane, hulking slab of a physical presence backed by a squall line of something--whatever screaming little monsters live in this man's head, occasionally climbing out his ears or down his nose.

Director
5. Ryusuke Hamaguchi-Drive My Car
4. Steven Spielberg-West Side Story
3. Tsai Ming-liang-Days
2. Julia Decournau-Titane
1. Jane Campion-The Power of the Dog

Honorable mention: Oliver Hermanus-Moffie

Another embarrassment of riches (have we talked enough about how many great movies came out this past year?), one in which Hamaguchi's tightness, formal control, and deep wells of emotion only musters a fifth place finish. I debated kicking Spielberg out for a 'cooler' choice, but the strength and clarity of his vision for that movie is like 90% of why it works (and it really works), so he's earned his place. A real steel cage match between Decournau and Campion for the gold, both women who crafted something strange, tense, sensual, and totally off the wall bonkers. Ultimately, Campion takes it by an anthrax-ridden hair.

Original Screenplay
5. Parallel Mothers
4. Pig
3. This Is Not a Burial, It's a Resurrection
2. Titane
1. Bergman Island

Honorable mention: Mass

A wild variety of movies here, ranging from Parallel Mothers's woozy mashup of melodrama and memories of fascism to Pig's terse and elaborate monologues and This Is Not a Burial's languorous pace, lingering quiets and shocking/transporting ending. Yet again, Titane comes up just short, but not because I don't love a movie that has its serial-killing protagonist murder someone by sticking a stool leg through their head and then sitting on that stool. Still, how could I say no to the bifurcated timelines, fantasies and film plots that fold quietly into the grooves of reality, its pitch-perfect romance and its deep and vaguely pleasant melancholies?

Adapted Screenplay
5. West Side Story
4. Zola
3. The Green Knight
2. The Power of the Dog
1. Drive My Car

Honorable mention: The Lost Daughter

A bunch of these movies offer a masterclass on how to adapt something and make it your own: how West Side Story reimagines and recontextualizes its story and setting for a new century, how Zola takes one huge twitter monologue and imbues it with motion and scale, or how The Green Knight turns a 700-year old poem into a bizarro fantasy road trip movie about contending with the weight of your own future. The Power of the Dog is an admirable and robust piece of work, and deserves all the praise it gets, but I've got to go (once again) with Drive My Car for its insights into the source material and its addition to it (all the Uncle Vanya rehearsal scenes were created for the film), scaffolding something new and improved into the cliffside.


And once again, we've ended for the night! I said that this would only take me an hour to write, but somehow I started at at 10.15 this morning and it's already dinnertime. (...he says 'somehow' like he didn't take a break to watch Dune.) I'll be back tomorrow (or possibly Tuesday, depending on real-world things) to talk about the craft categories, but for now you'll have to make do with wondering how many more times I'm going to mention Drive My Car (is it more than one and less than ten? Maybe!).

Saturday, February 19, 2022

Best of 2021, Part 1: the top 20

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Maybe it's because I'm getting older--not old (yet), but older--or maybe it's because of the way time skirts by me, through and around my fingers, just a little faster with every year, or maybe it's because of the way that life continues to pancake into less and less meaningful divisions, 5 and 8 being exceptionally meaningful divisions when I was a child, but 29 and 32 both carrying the same shade of light purple. But for whatever reason, with each increasing year I feel the need to create a something with these blog posts, a way to mark the year, or a way to mark how I perceived it, hoping I can find a way to turn what I think about my favorite movie of the year into something I think about getting older, or maybe just how I think about myself. And why not? For the majority of my life, I've kept time by the movie calendar more than the regular one--I couldn't confidently tell you three things that happened to me in 1999, but I could list 30 movies off the top of the head that came out in 1999, and whether I had any relationship to them. There's no functional difference in my memory between 2014 and and 2015, except maybe that one was the year that I liked Under the Skin best and the other was the year I liked Mad Max best. Maybe it's the pandemic and two years of monotonous anxiety, or anxious monotony speaking, 2020 and 2021 blurring together as an invisible chimera, halves only different if you know how to look, but pulling one year apart from the next seems to grow a little sillier to attempt with each turn.

And what does this deeply maudlin intro have to do with me trying to see how many poorly deployed adverbs I can sling at you in the coming hulking mass of paragraphs? Well, for better or worse, it's a comfort and a pleasure to scrawl a big red X across the year here, reminding myself what I saw, where I was, and what it meant before letting it slip into a murky past. And it's definitely silly, but hey, who doesn't use tangible things or less tangible things, like the concept of a good movie, to narrate their own lives every now and again? So it's a dumb and personal thing I do here year in and year out, but I love doing it, and I appreciate anyone who can get something--even if it's just a fun night with a good movie rental--from me building these yearly monuments to my hobby.

And it sure was a year, even if it didn't feel like it. Last year, I wrote at some length about the changing landscape of moviegoing, and how the concept of movies could survive, and it felt topical and meaningful, and now--I guess we're in the same place? Ticket sales are down, theaters are struggling, a few corporate giants continue to swallow as much space and air as they can, but hey, there's great stuff if you know where to look.  And again, one of the biggest effects the pandemic has had on movies is to demand that you know where to look; if you're looking for a wide variety of films, you can find them, but certainly not in theaters.

But I am who I am, which is to say that I spent far more time looking than I did, say, working on my dissertation. Really, this coming year (I say 'coming' like it hasn't been 2022 for almost three months) will be one of those for me Wherein Nothing Will Be the Same, etc.--honestly, I have no idea where I'll be, or what I'll be doing in a year's time. And to some extent I've been coping with the current malaise and the coming insecurity by watching movies. Which means that this year I've logged 100 movies from 2021 before writing this, a number that absolutely demolishes my previous record of 80-something (I'm too lazy to go look it up), which is ridiculous. I've gone out there and waded through the theatrical releases, the dubious streaming choices, the movies from Bhutan about yaks, to bring you the best of the best--and it really is the best this year, with the top 5 being able to take any top 5 I've ever had, probably. After 2020, a year in which I misplaced my love of the movies, being able to recommit so thoroughly has felt spectacular, and will probably have to tide me over for a while, given the upheaval to come.


If you're new here (and how could that possibly be the case, since I have not met a single new person for like 40 years, and that one person looked at this blog and then ran off screaming), then here's how the format works. I'll rattle off my top 20 movies of the year, while doing my very best hurl brevity into the tornado I keep nearby for just such a purpose. This means that I'll limit myself to two sentences per film, because a) I am old and frail, and my hands are already hurting from typing this, and I've got like four hours to go, and b) I will at least pretend to respect your time, if not my own. Granted, I have never once in my life been able to hold to this rule the whole time, but it's become like a fun little game to see how far I can get before I decide that only five or more sentences can help me communicate the deep and profound emotions I have for Pig or whatever. After all that, I'll offer some thoughts on the best scenes and worst scenes of the year, if you're still looking for ways to kill your time (and who isn't? Time is your only enemy left to kill; let my anger toward Free Guy be your weapon).

In interest of transparency, here's a full list of the films I've seen this year. I covered things pretty well this year, and don't feel like my viewing year has any massive holes, though there are certainly still some international/genre/documentary exceptions. So sorry to Petite Maman, Compartment No. 6, The World to Come, The Card Counter, Jockey, Great Freedom, Cyrano, Prayers for the Stolen, C'mon C'mon, etc. Maybe next year.

Here's what I saw:

Annette, Army of the Dead, Ascension, Bad Trip, Being the Ricardos, Belfast, Belle, Benedetta, Bergman Island, The Beta Test, Black Widow, Candyman, Chaos Walking, CODA, Coming 2 America, The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It, Cruella, Cryptozoo, Days, Don't Look Up, Drive My Car, Dune, Encanto, Eternals, The Eyes of Tammy Faye, Flee, Free Guy, The French Dispatch, The Green Knight, Godzilla vs. Kong, Halloween Kills, The Hand of God, The Harder They Fall, A Hero, House of Gucci, I'm Your Man, In the Heights, Jungle Cruise, King Richard, Lamb, The Land of Blue Lakes, The Last Duel, Last Night in Soho, Licorice Pizza, The Lost Daughter, Luca, Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom, Luzzu, Malignant, Mass, The Matrix Resurrections, The Mitchells vs. The Machines, Moffie, Mortal Kombat, Never Gonna Snow Again, Nightmare Alley, No Time to Die, The Novice, Old, Operation Hyacinth, Parallel Mothers, Passing, Pig, Plan B, Prisoners of the Ghostland, The Power of the Dog, Procession, A Quiet Place Part 2, Raya and the Last Dragon, Red Rocket, The Rescue, Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings, Shiva Baby, Single All the Way, Snake Eyes, Space Sweepers, Spencer, Spider-Man: No Way Home, The Spine of Night, The Suicide Squad, Summer of 85, Summer of Soul, The Summit of the Gods, Swan Song, The Tender Bar, Test Pattern, This is Not a Burial, It's a Resurrection, Those Who Wish Me Dead, Tick Tick Boom, Titane, The Tomorrow War, Together Together, The Tragedy of Macbeth, Venom: Let There Be Carnage, Werewolves Within, West Side Story, Wheel of Fortune and Fantasy, Wild Indian, The Worst Person in the World, Zola


Just a heads up: a piece of these entries here and there might be stolen from my letterboxd review, because either a) I liked what I wrote there and thought it would add something here, or b) I'm lazy. I'll also take this opportunity to plug letterboxd. Get a letterboxd! Follow on me! Let's yell at each other about movies all year round! Seriously, I have a wonderful time on this site and think it'd be groovy if more people I knew were on there:
https://letterboxd.com/jkuster/

Alright, without further ado (I've pushed all the ado I had left into the aforementioned tornado), let's get to it!

(I'll list with each entry where these movies are available to rent or stream.)


Honorable mentions: though they didn't make the cut, I'm grateful for giddy highs and lows of The Worst Person in the World, the mile-a-minute comedy and zaniness of The Mitchells vs. The Machines, and exquisitely framed melancholy of The French Dispatch

20. The Hand of God (dir. Paolo Sorrentino)
At once a woozily remembered memoir of teenaged life gone awry, a love letter to the city of Florence, and a totally bonkers fever dream, Sorrentino's Hand of God covers a whole bunch of bases before it even stops for breath. The margins might be more interesting than the character at the center (which seems the case more often than not), but it's hard to deny a movie with its heart so lovingly sewn onto its sleeve.
(streaming on Netflix)

19. Luca (dir. Enrico Casarosa)
Another movie built from the director's memories of adolescence in Italy, this time with fish monsters, pasta contests, enough gentle homoeroticism to sink several small fishing vessels. The characters, the sense of place, the Dan Romer score, all a breath of fresh seawater: how many movies do we get, animated or otherwise, that don't want much from its characters or its audience other than to sit in a place and near about it and themselves? 
(streaming on Disney+, rentable for a heavy fee on google play, youtube, itunes, etc.)

18. Test Pattern (dir. Shatara Michelle Ford)
Starts low-key and warm as a romance story and then mutates into something still low-key and seething. Ford's film about how hard it is to seek justice--or to be treated like a person, by the system or by the people right next to you--after sexual assault resonates even more its sharp direction and stellar crafting (the editing and the score in particular stand out).
(streaming on Kanopy, rentable on google play, youtube, itunes, etc.)

17. Never Gonna Snow Again (dir. Michal Englert and Malgorzata Szumowska)
Almost impossible to nail down: a black comedy, or a mean-spirited satire, or a straightforward drama about a neighborhood, or sci-fi, centering around an angel, or a superhero, or a radioactive mutant, or a liar as he carries his massage table from one rich home to another, helping where he can. This bizarre story of hypnotism, money, and migration feels of a piece with movies like Werckmeister Harmonies and Wings of Desire, in which super-beings drift from place to place, discovering what trouble means for them this time.
(rentable where things are rented)

16. The Lost Daughter (dir. Maggie Gyllenhaal)
I mean, any movie that lets me watch Oliva Colman and Dakota Johnson be frenemies for two hours is gonna make my top 20 and should also win a Nobel, a Pulitzer, and a Kid's Choice Award, just because. But it helps that this movie is so good beyond its acting--the writing, the jangly sense of time and place, the sure-handed direction, the staggering display of big hats, Olivia Colman threatening to cut some dicks off, etc.
(streaming on netflix)

15. Belle (dir. Mamoru Hosoda)
Maybe writing with my heart over my brain here, but who cares: the animation is brain-melting and lovely, its take on bifurcated virtual and physical lives is sharp, its dramatic aspects land well, and its (shockingly) one of the funniest movies of the year. Sure, it's arguably three movies tangled together, but I loved all three of them.

(not available online)

14. The Novice (dir. Lauren Hadaway)
A movie with utterly insane dedication to depicting what someone has to do to go from 0 to rowing crew at a professional level in a matter of months, with every possible cinematic tool getting thrown at the wall to try and capture the protagonist's world-ending dedication to destroying herself just to show she can. Gripping and upsetting from start to finish, plus a huge performance from Isabelle Fuhrmann (seriously, when will she be a bigger star?), and an unassuming and non-sensationalized queer relationship.
(rentable where things are rented)

13. The Green Knight (dir. David Lowery)
Took me a minute to find this movie's wavelength, but once I did (it happened around the time Barry Keoghan romped across the battlefield, bragging about how all his brothers died there), I couldn't pull back out: I'm such a sucker for movies that become more and more unhinged the longer they run, and even more so for movies that double down on their own joyous nihilism. I've thought about this movie's end more than most others this year, as well as its architectural costumes, its wild giant interlude, and the fact that--sorry everyone--based on the rules, Dev Patel kind of still owes Joel Edgerton a handjob.
(rentable where things are rented)

12. Pig (dir. Michael Sarnoski)
Gentle and talkative when pressed, this movie about Nicholas Cage on the search for his stolen pig totally floored me in ways I didn't expect--a movie about chasing someone down to show them kindness, despite the odds. Cage is great (as he is, and can be), but Alex Wolff steals it for me, showing titanic range from Hereditary to this.
(streaming on hulu, rentable where things are rented)

11. Zola (dir. Janicza Bravo)
"Adapted from a series of tweets" hardly inspires confidence, but but Bravo's astounding and green-eyed rendition of the worst girls' trip ever conjures a bizarro cage of expectations in which it's better to stay or be quiet, and hey, at least this is happening in Florida. Has there ever been a voiceover more welcome than Zola's side-eye counterpoint woven throughout the movie?
(rentable where things are rented)

10. Spencer (dir. Pablo Larrain)
Spencer, a look at Princess Diana over the course of a weekend, is like a documentary made by aliens, or maybe a haunted house movie filmed by the handless things living between the walls. I honestly think Spencer's closest cousin is The Texas Chainsaw Massacre: worlds where the future doesn't matter, the present is the reified and inescapable past, what matters most in the world is attending unbearable meals and  consuming them without thinking, and the only thing to do is find whatever's jagged or brittle in front of you and use it to crack your own teeth.
(streaming on hulu, rentable where things are rented)

9. This is Not a Burial, It's a Resurrection (dir. Lemohang Jeremiah Mosese)
Dazzling, hypnotic, moving from one minute to the next like the ocean, inevitable and with equal parts joy and malice, like Dario Argento on ketamine. A ragged, blue-tinged Lesotho-made fairy tale about the importance of community, or, barring that, the importance of screaming, burning, and being reborn.
(streaming on the Criterion channel, rentable where things are rented)

8. Parallel Mothers (dir. Pedro Almodovar)
A real joy to watch Almodovar take some of his most familiar pieces--complicated mothers, women who need to be actresses, naïve young women who learn to feel their pain freely, wisecracking assistants who will still hold your arm while you weep next to someone's grave, fucking off to another city as an escape, or a return--and shuffles them together with some real-world ugliness to create something vibrant and immediate. (In?)arguably the best Penelope Cruz has ever been, and with an upsetting and haunting ending of past and present folding into each other, neither finished with the other.
(rentable where things are rented for a hefty price, might still be playing at a theater near you)

7. West Side Story (dir. Steven Spielberg)
The obvious question everyone asked about this movie was why anyone would remake the original, and the obvious answer this movie gave back was to do a bunch of things better, adding new contexts, new relationships, bold ideas, and--oh yeah--not having the lasting film legacy of a story about Puerto Rican characters be one done almost entirely in brownface. Tony Kushner/Stephen Sondheim/Steven Spielberg, plus Robbins Bernstein, is a ridiculously potent combo, and throwing all of their work in a blender with other ridiculously talented artists is a sight that deserves to be seen projected on a whole-ass skyscraper. It's not perfect (Ansel Elgort's participation notwithstanding, and a difficult pill to swallow), but it's full of lightning, and I'm glad it exists.
(not available online, might be playing near a theater near you)

(I got so far with the 2 sentence rule, and yet here we are. Time to go throw brevity in that tornado, as its ritualistic murder is also an important part of my year-end ritual.)

6. Titane (dir. Julia Ducournau)
Weirdly, I don't know if any cinematic moment this year brought me more joy than when Titane's protagonist sits down on a very special stool (you'll know it when it happens), but it did and it will keep bringing me joy until I too motor off into the sunset, carried by my little motor babies. An absolutely bananas ride from start to finish, just an assault of music and wiggling parts. Your mind might first turn to the graphic violence, or the, uh, having sex with a car, but what really lingers are the musical interludes--Vincent Lindon teaching his new child how to dance, the frat boy firefighter raves, a no-strip striptease that leaves everyone, audience included, unsure how to feel. And the gentleness! The absolute goddamn kindness and humanity that Titane exudes while also containing violence so brutal that several people in my theater audibly gasped or were vocally uncomfortable when they happened. A great entry into the the We All Have Bodies, and What a Shame That Is movie pantheon, an assault on the senses, a sneaky dance movie, and a treatise on cars and family that Vin Diesel and co. could only dream about making. How is this only #6 on my list? Definitely a hard recommend--as long as you're ok with brutality and/or your brain melting a little.
(streaming on hulu--and also the Disney+ bundle, hilariously, rentable where things are rented)

5. Flee (dir. Jonas Poner Rasmussen)
A late entry--I only saw this last week--but this documentary about a queer refugee trying to confront his past and himself (the film is animated, in part, to protect his identity) has been stuck in my head ever since. For whatever reason, the scene that hit me hardest was a small one, Amin talking about a crush he had on a boy he met while moving from one place to another, admiring the gold chain he wears, the way he looks while he's laying down across from him. I started crying for--the mundanity, I guess. The way simple, lovely, everyday things (like light-up sneakers or a soap opera) seep into the cracks of the brutal and extraordinary. How Amin's hands move to that necklace for the rest of the movie--the tokens we use to feel like a person, even if you have to lie about what it means for you. People and objects trying their best to keep those categories separate. A beautiful and surprising watch that always manages to move at a slight angle away from the direction you think it'll end up.
(streaming on hulu, rentable where things are rented)

4. Bergman Island (dir. Mia Hansen-Love)
Fitting, maybe, how many of my top 5 (or the top 20, even) will have to do with remembering, or forgetting, and what to do with yourself as you close your eyes and wake up in the future as a different future. When, with this film as an example, you suspect you've been pretending that the things you have, or want, are off-white, or maybe beige, and have to wonder if this is a problem, and if it means everything, or nothing, or both simultaneously. Bergman Island combines two of my favorite subgenres: people having a few days of romance in exotic locales before parting forever, and movies about how people look at one another when they assume that person isn't looking back. Instances of small romance that add up to--nothing, maybe, or to something, but who has the time to parse them, and even if you do, who has a reason?
(streaming on hulu, rentable where things are rented)

3. The Power of the Dog (dir. Jane Campion)
One of my favorite aspects of this movie is how impossible it is to place in a genre. It could be a western (it's got horses and ranches!), but doesn't move or breathe like one. It's not much of a thriller (unless you are thrilled by Kirsten Dunst playing the piano...and honestly who isn't), or a romance, though it's got elements of both. Very black comedy? Straightforward drama? All appropriate but not. An erotic thriller without sex, a western without the west, a thriller where none of the thrills are ever spoken aloud--all enacted by characters who look, speak, and behave vaguely like aliens. The Power of the Dog is, for lack of a better word, wacky as shit, and I love it. Very few working filmmakers can match Campion in understanding and exploiting the power of touch, of bodies, of textures that you rub your fingers against in lieu of other, more important things to rub against. Add Jonny Greenwood's score that throws a lit match into a lake of gasoline, a quartet of fantastic performances, and the other masterfully wrought crafts, and you get a dead-eyed unicorn of a movie. What a delirious and wonderful world we've created for this horny zombie nightmare to be the undisputed frontrunner for best picture.
(streaming on netflix)

2. Days (dir. Tsai Ming-liang)
I freely admit that this movie--made entirely of long takes watching people do everyday things at length, with little in the way of big characterization and almost no dialogue (and what dialogue there is is in Mandarin without subtitles)--might not be for everyone. Even the trailer seems to know that there's no point trying to sell this movie--you already know if you're interested or not. But if you're looking for a little silence, try this movie on, which remains one of the most absorbing and deeply moving film experiences I had this year. I'm not sure I've ever seen a better filmic representation of how it feels to live a series of days and be aware of how time moves with them, each indistinguishable from the next but intricately bound to the way your life is developing on path from living to dying. And if someone can reach through and halt that progression, even for a moment--. This is a gorgeous and impactful movie, even if--or precisely because--it asks for a little patience.
(streaming on  mubi, otherwise not available online, which, uh, kind of ruins the whole 'hey, go try this thing' angle of this entry)

1. Drive My Car (dir. Ryusuke Hamaguchi)
I am honestly a little intimidated by where to start writing because this movie is so huge, so generous, so vibrant with life and thought and emotion. It's easy to say that the three hour runtime flies by faster a movie half its length, and that I could have watched it for another three hours without batting an eye. It's easy to point at the performances, or how cannily the screenplay weaves Uncle Vanya into Murakami's original short story (Vanya only being a throwaway detail in the original) to make the two texts speak to each other, and then again with Hamaguchi's film itself. Or point to the already-famous shot of the two cigarettes through the sunroof as a microcosm for the film's approach to grief, or pain, or being alive--better when shared, but the people around you are fundamentally unknowable, so whatever you do has to start with yourself. Sitting and silence as stand-ins for penitence, or maybe forgiveness, eventually, when the only other option is to say something again and again until it means nothing, or everything. And again, how time passes, or does but doesn't really, distinct piece of your life feeling like a frozen image trailing like kite-strings and everything in between is a motion blur, until it's not--or is--again. Simply put, nothing moved me this year like watching Drive My Car's protagonists try to find their lives by driving, or speaking, or sitting in silence, or maybe finding something to create, some direction to go in so that, years later, when you are in a supermarket or doing some other meaningless meaningful thing, you can smile without thinking about it first. 
(not available online right now, but coming to Hulu on March 2nd, I think. Also could be playing at a theater near you.)


And there we are! I've been working for at least three hours (somehow, keeping up the brevity rule took me longer than just not being brief?), but I am going to stagger desperately around my garden shed for a minute and then soldier on with the best scenes and worst movies of the year.

(I'll try to link to a clip of the best scenes if possible.)
(Note: generally I try and avoid spoilers or picking endings here, but I haven't quite done that this time around. I'll mention which clips might be spoilers when I hit them, but still, be forewarned.)

Best Scenes of the Year

10. Firehouse Dance-Titane
One of two Titane dance sequences on this list, this one's fairly late in the film, so don't read any further if you want to keep Titane's surprises to yourself (which you ought to). But the main character's reluctant and than committed sexy dance atop a firetruck for her skeptical peers and then her 'father,' melding both of her personae into one shimmying body, is beautifully strange and strangely beautiful, just like the film itself.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dDms1IXNI7A

9. Stopping Time-The Worst Person in the World
In this kind-of romcom about a woman who's never sure what she wants, the protagonist stops time so she can run across a frozen Oslo to imagine life with the man she's considering leaving her boyfriend for. It's a dizzy, whimsical headlong rush:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NyT2jpyu3VY

8. A Nice Night at the Movies-The Lost Daughter
Leda, played by Olivia Colman, decides to spend the night at the movies, but shares the theater with some rowdy members of a family that she has secretly wronged. When the theater attendant comes to check, the kids quiet down--just long enough for her to leave. The unbroken closeup on Colman's face as she realizes how easily they'll get away with it, and how easy it is to leave her powerless, is pretty astounding. And then, of course, there's the part where she snaps and screams that she's going to cut all their dicks off. Fun times at the theater!
(no clip, unfortunately)

7. The Winner Takes it All-Bergman Island
Who hasn't cryed while listening to/dancing to ABBA? Spoilers for the end of the story within a story in Bergman Island, but this moment, in which Mia Wasikowska seals her relationship's fate when she takes to the dancefloor, had me (and everyone) dancing and weeping in equal measure.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xM-jdKw1ruQ

6. A Crush-Belle
There's no way that this scene plays without all the context before it, but within the confines of the movie this was one of the funniest scenes of the year. A whole comedy of errors featuring secrets coming to light (or not) and misinterpreted jokes from before coming back to bite people on the ass (again), all held in a dopey and perfect long take.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BmdNo6D9agM

5. A Cool Platonic Dance with Dad-Titane
Again, a few spoilers for Titane if you want to go in fresh, so stop reading now! The protagonist--a serial killer on the run, hiding with a man who believes she's his son who's been missing since childhood--is having trouble relating to their new father, and the father (god Vincent Lindon is so good in this role) is having trouble why his long-lost son doesn't seem to love him. It all comes to a head in one of the weirder dance/fight scenes I've ever seen.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=heJlyo-Ziv4

4. Bus Fight-Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
I am as loath as anyone to send positive attention Disney's way these days--actually, strike that, I am much more loath than most everyone to do that--but I'm not going to pretend that I don't see quality if I see it, and the bus fight in Shang Chi (itself a strong movie) is one hell of a well-conceived and entertaining set piece.
(Not the entire scene, but you get the point:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9jFOrP5l1bE

3. and 2. Scenes about Boys-Flee
I rarely do two scenes from the same movie in these lists, and I avoid scenes without clips or with spoilers, but I'll break all of those rules to talk about two scenes from Flee--maybe recency bias is playing a role here, but I can't help that both represent some of the best moments the year has to offer. #2 I already discussed up above--the scene where Amin meets and crushes on another teenager while he is crossing borders. It's small but packs a huge punch, and moved me more than almost anything this year. #3 comes third because it has spoilers--skip ahead if you're not into that. When Amin comes out to his family, his brother wordlessly drives him to an undisclosed location, during which we all imagine the worst--until it's revealed that his brother has taken him to a gay club. He tells him they've always known, that it's fine, and presses some money into his hand, leaving him for the first time in a world where he can exhale--at least this part of himself, anyway.

1. Uncle Vanya-Drive My Car
I know, I keep saying that I avoid endings and spoilers and then I keep putting them here. But I think this scene would make a strong contender if I were to pick a scene of the decade. Honestly, it's hard to think of many more scene ever that are as beautiful and moved me as much as this one. Even though this is almost the end of the movie, I'm not sure it actually spoils anything. Much of the film has been about staging a version of Vanya in which an international cast all performs in their native language. In the final scene, the woman who performs in Korean sign language gives the plays final monologue with her hands in front of Uncle Vanya (played by the main character), her arms acting like his arms, using his face to sign, while the emotions of the play, and the events of the film, run through them. It'll lack a punch if you haven't seen the movie and don't have the whole emotional context with it, but if you do, then I can't imagine this not knocking you off your feet. Hell, I've watched it like 8 times and I still tear up a little. 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y77FELZaE6c


And finally, the worst movies of the year! While I don't want to dwell on negativity or end on a down note, there's some catharsis to be found in throwing the things that hurt you off of the proverbial cliff. So let's get to throwing! Note that I generally avoid movies that are supposed to be awful, so this can just as easily be seen as a list of most disappointing movies.

5. Being the Ricardos
If this had quietly shuffled out in August, I probably could have watched it as mediocre and harmless, but since it's out there selling itself as The Best Thing of the year, I've got to read it in that context, and as a potential Best Thing, this movie is dumb trash that only makes me angrier the further I get from it. Most everything (give or take some of the performances) a total catastrophe. Fundamentally a movie The same kind of historical revisionist bullshit ending that Sorkin did with Trial of the Chicago 7, where the flaws and ugliness of an era are trotted as a feel-good moment while the insipid soundtrack rises, everyone clapping themselves on the back.

4. Single All the Way
Maybe it's too tough for me to relate to bougie family holidays, or families getting *really* excited about gay romance, but this felt like watching aliens, and not even interesting ones. I get that some kind of parity is due between straight and queer romance movies, including poorly made ones, but I don't know if it would cost anyone much to put even a little effort into this thing, even if it's clearly made as grist for the Netflix content mill. Not even the way Jennifer Coolidge says 'Maaaahh-rey' can save it.

3. The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It
Yeah, no, the devil wouldn't put his name on anything this half-ass and lackadaisical. Look, we all love looking at Lorraine Warren's ruffled tops, and we all like looking at Patrick Wilson in his little pants, but can we just stop this train? Can the Warrens contend with something doesn't involve a loud noise and spooky cgi monster, just this once? At the very least can the next movie be about who the shit in Kansas or wherever had a haunted Samurai hat and why the Warrens ever took it away from them.

2. Free Guy
I know, kicking Free Guy is like kicking a baby--too easy. But you *cannot* write a movie about how evil corporations are ruining art and then makes this goddamn movie. How is that not a jailable offense? Speaking of jail, I like Taika Waititi, and Ryan Reynolds totally exists, but maybe both of them don't spend any more time in front of a camera for a little while? An extra pox and a half for the unholy and stupifying places the romance element went, and for, jesus, I don't know, literally every piece of this stupid movie.

1. Halloween Kills
It kind of pains me not to have Free Guy at the bottom, but Halloween Kills is the kind of movie that made me wish that I didn't like movies. I know the 'look how they massacred my boy' things has been done to death, but I don't know if it's ever been more appropriate to shriek into the wind than when thinking about George Washington, Undertow, and All the Real Girls and then going to see this execrable pile of stupid trash. I lay awake at night, unable to sleep because I'm worried that whatever happened to David Gordon Green might one day happen to me.  Deeply stupid in a way you can tell it's proud of, its utterly inane mob justice metaphor (is it fair to call something a metaphor if that thing doesn't mean anything?) and truly remarkable character work (a very nice way to say that everyone is bad all the time). One of those movies that made me legitimately resent the concept of filmmaking.


Well, there you have it, wherein 'it' means 'too many of my opinions and a ton of my time!' I'll be back tomorrow with directing, writing, and acting categories, and I'm sure each will be even more stupendous than the last. In the meantime, what are your thoughts? What did I miss? What deserves more of a chance?

Tuesday, February 8, 2022

Oscar Nominations 2021: Get In Losers, We're Running Over Aaron Sorkin




 I--. You know what?

I'm not gonna complain.

That's right, after half a lifetime of powerlessly shrieking into the wind every time the Oscars roll around, a joyful little dance of rage I've committed to more strongly than anything else in my entire life, I'm just gonna shrug and nod a little. Because the Oscars...kind of got things right-ish this year? Granted, there are some egregious snubs, and some things I despise popping up where you'd least want the things you despise to pop up, I can't help but look at the list this morning and feel fine. You might be able to credit this to the Academy's years-long initiative to make its voters more diverse and international finally paying off and creating a voting body that's more willing to take a chance on slightly more challenging or interesting fare, or maybe after living through the past few years, we've all learned to carefully measure and spend our outrage. Or maybe I'm just in that warm, happy place that can only happen when Being the Ricardos falls on its face. Either way, if you've ever needed a little extra kick to wade into the Oscar conversation and see more of the nominees, this is the year to do it: there's plenty of gold (statues or otherwise) to find here.

Arguably, the biggest story of the morning is The Power of the Dog scoring in every conceivable place with 12 nominations (it's on netflix right now! go watch it!), or maybe it's the overperformance of international titles, with Drive My Car, Flee, Parallel Mothers, and The Worst Person in the World all thriving. Really, it's a wacky list, and one that feels as though it would have been vaguely inconceivable even a decade ago, so let's dive in!

I'll put an asterisk next to the nominations I predicted correctly, but maybe don't hold your breath for a ton of asterisks.

Best Picture
Belfast*
Coda*
Don't Look Up*
Drive My Car*
King Richard*
Licorice Pizza*
Nightmare Alley
The Power of the Dog*
West Side Story*

 I'm most thrilled for Drive My Car, which becomes only the 13th non-English language film to be nominated in this category, and was far from a sure thing, even though it absolutely deserves it. Almost as thrilled to see Being the Ricardos miss--something it did a fair amount of this morning. I don't have lots of love for Don't Look Up, Belfast, and CODA, but I can live with their being here. Also a surprise to see Nightmare Alley, a film not well loved by precursor awards, critics, or the box office, finding its way into this category--and without a nomination in any other major category. 

Early winner prediction: The Power of the Dog

Director
Paul Thomas Anderson-Licorice Pizza*
Kenneth Branagh-Belfast*
Jane Campion-The Power of the Dog*
Ryusuke Hamaguchi-Drive My Car
Steven Spielberg-West Side Story*

Despite Branagh, this is a great category, with Campion becoming the first woman to receive multiple directing nominations, and Hamaguchi extending the Academy's recent trend of nominating international directors here (see last year's Thomas Vinterberg/Another Round or the previous year's Pawel Pawlikowski/Cold War). Despite Belfast feeling like someone just discovered iMovie, Branagh becomes the first person ever to be nominated in 7 different categories across his career this morning (picture, director, actor, supporting actor, original screenplay, adapted screenplay, live action short).

Early winner prediction: Jane Campion-The Power of the Dog

Actress
Jessica Chastain-The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Olivia Colman-The Lost Daughter*
Penelope Cruz-Parallel Mothers
Nicole Kidman-Being the Ricardos*
Kristen Stewart-Spencer*

Olivia Colman! Penelope Cruz! Kristen-ass Stewart getting her long deserved first Oscar nomination! This category might have elicited the most wild snapping and air-punching from me this morning. A strong lineup, despite the Ricardoness of it all.

Early winner prediction: Olivia Colman-The Lost Daughter

Actor
Javier Bardem-Being the Ricardos
Benedict Cumberbatch-The Power of the Dog*
Andrew Garfield-Tick Tick Boom*
Will Smith-King Richard*
Denzel Washington-The Tragedy of Macbeth*

Less than thrilled that Bardem's here--he's a great actor, and seems great, but is woefully miscast and never figures out what to do about it. All of this is fine, though, I guess? I'll always greet any Andrew Garfield nom to make up for his dumb Social Network snub all those years ago, and the rest of the field is strong enough. Fun fact: Bardem getting in here makes him the first of two married couples (with his wife Penelope Cruz) to get his and hers Oscar nominations this morning.

Early winner prediction: Will Smith-King Richard

Supporting Actress
Jessie Buckley-The Lost Daughter
Ariana DeBose-West Side Story*
Judi Dench-Belfast
Kirsten Dunst-The Power of the Dog*
Aunjanue Ellis-King Richard*

Maybe most surprising category of the morning, with Buckley showing up (almost) out of nowhere, and Dench knocking off her more heavily awarded co-star Caitrona Balfe. That kind of chaos might make this DeBose's to lose, which is only tradition, as every iteration of Anita in West Side Story on a major stage has won a Tony or an Oscar. Another fun fact: with this nomination, her eighth, Judi Dench has now been nominated in four consecutive decades.

Early winner prediction: Ariana DeBose-West Side Story

Supporting Actor
Ciaran Hinds-Belfast*
Troy Kotsur-CODA*
Jesse Plemons-The Power of the Dog*
JK Simmons-Being the Ricardos
Kodi Smit-McPhee-The Power of the Dog*

Pleased that my long-shot Jesse Plemons prediction panned out--he's been doing stellar work for decades and deserves the recognition (and, as he's married to Kirsten Dunst, he completes the supporting set of his and hers nominations this morning).The exact opposite of pleased for JK Simmons (one reviewer--I can't remember who, sorry nameless, faceless hero reviewer--wrote that Simmons 'takes a role that he could do in his sleep and then does exactly that), but here we are. Kotsur becomes only the second deaf person nominated for an acting Oscar, and the first man to do so (the only other is Marlee Matlin--who co-starred in CODA--who won Best Actress for Children of a Lesser God in 1986). If Smit-McPhee wins (which he very well might), he would become the second youngest winner ever in this category, at 23 years old (the youngest remains Timothy Hutton, who won at 19 years old for Ordinary People in 1980).

Early winner prediction: Kodi Smit-McPhee-The Power of the Dog

Original Screenplay
Belfast*
Don't Look Up*
King Richard*
Licorice Pizza*
The Worst Person in the World

(In?)arguably the biggest surprise of the morning as Norwegian hit The Worst Person in the World showing up here, when the debate leading up to nominations was if it would even have the strength to make it into International Feature. I haven't seen it yet, but other people seem thrilled--at any rate, I owe it a massive fruit basket every year from now until the heat death of the universe for denying Being the Ricardos a place here.

Early winner prediction: Licorice Pizza

Adapted Screenplay
CODA*
Drive My Car*
Dune*
The Lost Daughter*
The Power of the Dog*

Improbably, my 'Dune gets screenplay but not director, and West Side Story gets director but not screenplay' gambit paid off--which is a real bummer, because West Side Story was a pretty impressive feat of adaptation from all-time great writer Tony Kushner. Well, we can't win them all (but how anyone voted for, hypothetically, Coda over WSS in this category will forever be a mystery to me). Still, this is a ridiculously strong category, and again, Drive My Car! Over the moon that it hit in basically every conceivable category.

Early winner prediction: The Power of the Dog

Production Design
Dune*
Nightmare Alley*
The Power of the Dog*
The Tragedy of Macbeth
West Side Story*

Power of the Dog scoring here shows off how strong it was going into nominations (as well as its Sound nomination coming up in a minute), and begins a long line of Belfast not being able to throw the same weight around (thank goodness). This category also begins the Power of the Dog vs. Dune throwdown in the craft categories that will continue right up until the envelopes are opened.

Early winner prediction: Dune

Costume Design
Cruella*
Cyrano*
Dune*
Nightmare Alley
West Side Story

Gutted to see The Green Knight miss here (and everywhere), but that was always a long shot. Nightmare Alley pops up again in an unexpected place (though much less unexpected than in best picture--still reeling from that a bit), and Cyrano managing to grab something despite its release strategy of pretending not to exist. 

Early winner prediction: Dune

Visual Effects
Dune*
Free Guy*
No Time to Die*
Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
Spider-Man: No Way Home*

Fans hoping to see Spider-Man in best picture will have to comfort themselves with its solitary nomination here (though, honestly...I have questions about your hopes). In any case, Marvel films very rarely get a nomination in anything other than this category: the only three that have managed were Iron Man with a sound editing nod, Guardians of the Galaxy getting in for Makeup, and Black Panther's 7-nomination run, including best picture. Anyway, now I have to watch Free Guy.

Early winner prediction: Dune

Makeup and Hairstyling
Coming 2 America*
Cruella*
Dune*
The Eyes of Tammy Faye
House of Gucci*

This marks House of Gucci's nomination--given I predicted it would be up for five Oscars, including best picture, it's definitely my biggest fumble of the morning. Neither shocked nor surprised, though a little hurt, that Tammy Faye's intense and alien prosthetics snuck in here, but goodness knows this category loves a flashy transformation.

Early winner prediction: Dune

Film Editing
Don't Look Up*
Dune*
King Richard
The Power of the Dog*
Tick Tick Boom

Furious that I didn't follow my last-minute instinct to predict Tick Tick Boom and played it safe instead, but it's a fun choice here--and pretty atypical, as this category skew very close to the best picture race, and Tick Tick Boom won't be found there. As it is traditionally close to impossible to win best picture without a nomination in this category (it's only happened once in the past 40 years), your future best picture winner is almost definitely one of those movies up there.

Early winner prediction: The Power of the Dog

Cinematography
Dune*
Nightmare Alley
The Power of the Dog*
The Tragedy of Macbeth*
West Side Story*

My second biggest cheer of the morning came when I realized that Belfast didn't score here, something that still fills me with glee. Really, Belfast lost most of the momentum it had this morning, not being able to clinch either two of its four possible acting noms and missing here and in production design and film editing. Not that I'm complaining, of course, but strange to think that it was the presumptive frontrunner for like three straight months.

Early winner prediction: Dune

Original Score
Don't Look Up*
Dune*
Encanto
Parallel Mothers
The Power of the Dog*

I flew a little too close to the sun in predicting Candyman, but you have to have a dream or two. More surprising that The French Dispatch missed here (and everywhere else), making it the first Wes Anderson movie in 15 years not to be Oscar-nominated in some capacity. I ought to have read the tea leaves on Disney+ and included Encanto here, but I wrongfully assumed that the trend of nominating Disney movies for songs only (one that's persisted since the end of the 90s) would continue. Also a delight to see Parallel Mothers pop up somewhere else--one of my favorites of the year, but one I'd figured had no real shot at the Oscars.

Early winner prediction: The Power of the Dog

Sound
Belfast
Dune*
No Time to Die*
The Power of the Dog*
West Side Story*

Wild and bizarre that Belfast manages to hold on here despite all its other misses, but this category sometimes sticks pretty close to the buzzy titles. This is one of No Time to Die's three nominations this morning, making it the second most nominated James Bond movie ever (behind Skyfall's five nominations). And again, The Power of the Dog showing up here reiterates its, uh, power (its dog will have to be reiterated elsewhere).

Original Song
"Be Alive"-King Richard*
"Dos Oruguitas"-Encanto*
"Down to Joy"-Belfast
"No Time to Die"-No Time to Die*
"Somehow You Do"-Four Good Days*

God bless Diane Warren and her yearly tradition of getting nominated for a movie that no one has seen--I assume she's doing this via dark ritual, and would happily volunteer to get sealed in a sarcophagus or whatever for the Diane Warren cause. Oscar ceremony planners must be beside themselves with joy right now, given this category has nominated songs by Billie Eilish, Beyoncé, Van Morrison, and the most popular Disney album of the last 30 years. 

Early winner prediction: "Dos Oruguitas"-Encanto

Animated Film
Flee*
Encanto*
Luca*
The Mitchells vs. the Machines*
Raya and the Last Dragon

If Belle had beaten Raya to the finish line, this would have been an all-timer of a lineup, but instead we'll have to settle for four great movies and one lukewarm one. Absolutely thrilled for Luca, Mitchells, and Flee (the hand-wringing about how Flee's campaigning in three categories was wildly off the mark, as you'll soon see).

Early winner prediction: Encanto

International Film
Drive My Car-Japan*
Flee-Denmark*
The Hand of God-Italy*
Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom-Bhutan
The Worst Person in the World-Norway

This is another ridiculously strong category (or so I've heard, as I haven't seen all of these yet). Groovy to see a lesser known competitor like Lunana get in, netting Bhutan its first ever nomination, and equally groovy to see every other slot taken by a great movie. This might be my favorite category of the morning, and I haven't even seen two of them yet.

Early winner prediction: Drive My Car-Denmark

Documentary Feature
Ascension
Attica*
Flee*
Summer of Soul*
Writing with Fire

Some chaos here, as presumptive frontrunners/strong competitors Procession and The Rescue miss, but I don't know if I can argue with the results (even if I haven't seen a few of these). I'll be curious if Summer of Soul walks to the finish from here, or the instability opens up the possibility of something wacky. With Flee scoring here, it becomes the only movie ever to be nominated in all three specialty categories--animated, international, and documentary. Previously, Collective and Honeyland were nominated in both international and documentary in 2020 and 2019, respectively.


Of the non-specialty categories (i.e not animated, international, or documentary), I've seen most of the nominees already, missing only The Worst Person in the World, Cruella, Coming 2 America, Free Guy, and Four Good Days, all of which are either readily available online or opening soon at a theater near me. The harder to cover categories are a little tougher. I've seen everything in animated, but am still missing The Worst Person in the World, Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom, Attica, Summer of Soul, and Writing with Fire. Of those, both Lunana and Writing with Fire are nowhere to be found, but I'm hoping that will change now that they can add 'Oscar nominee' to their business cards. 

Predictions-wise, I didn't thrive, but I didn't totally fall on my face. The only category I completely nailed was Adapted Screenplay (and only going five for five in one category has got to be a personal worst), but I also didn't totally mess up any categories, guessing three or four correctly everywhere else. 

For those counting at home, here's a list of the most nominated movies:

1. The Power of the Dog-12
2. Dune-10
3. Belfast-7
4. West Side Story-7
5. King Richard-6
6. Drive My Car-4
7. Don't Look Up-4
8. Nightmare Alley-4
9. Licorice Pizza-3
10. CODA-3

Seeing it all laid out, it's kind of remarkable how spread out these nominations were, with only two movies really pushing the numbers and everything else pretty evenly distributed. The distinction of most nominated film that isn't nominated for best picture is a four-way tie between Being the Ricardos, The Tragedy of MacbethFlee, and No Time to Die, each with three.

And here's a few movies that weren't nominated for anything: Passing, The Last Duel, The French Dispatch, The Harder They Fall, Eternals, Pig, Red Rocket, Respect, The Tender Bar, A Hero, C'mon C'mon, Mass, The Matrix: Resurrections, Black Widow, Last Night in Soho, Great Freedom, Compartment No. 6, Prayers for the Stolen, I'm Your Man, Procession, The Rescue, Bergman Island, Titane, Zola, The Green Knight

You win some, you lose some.

And there's another year already! How did you react? What's great? What's terrible? What's missing? As always, no matter how good or bad the nominations are, I have to say that I love the Oscars and all the silly little things that come along with them, and every year before the nominations I have trouble sleeping, like a kid before Christmas. It's silly and dumb, but hey, so am I, so why not embrace it?


Sunday, February 6, 2022

Oscar Predictions 2021: Take Me, Gravity


An artist's rendering of the impending Oscar nominations, 
Pixels and Good Vibes, 2022


And somehow, improbably, inevitably, another year is gone already--which seems ridiculous, given that it's still late 2019, and also that time no longer means anything. Last year, writing Oscar predictions in (what was supposed to be) the tail-end of the pandemic felt like a reclamation. If spring 2020 felt like the end of the world, then spring 2021 surely felt like a resurgence. The world was still ending, sure, but we were all used to it, and it could only end for so long, right? Well, smash-cut to spring 2022 and those feelings were maybe premature. Things are different, things are the same, and every day to some extent can be contained inside an apparently infinite spring afternoon on March 8th (or April 31st, or Junifer Lawrence the 10th, or any other day that is just as real as an inane dystopian sci-fi date like February 7th, 2022). 

Point is, time is silly, and all the things that were same are different, and all the things that were different have stayed the same. One of these constants, obviously, is the Oscars, which, like time and the slow decline of all things on this and any other earth, have been happening since 1927 and show no signs of pumping the brakes. And luckily for all of us, the universe's capacity for entropy is only slightly greater than my frenzied dedication to chronicling the Oscars in all their sordid glory. So now, like in any late winter/early spring for almost 100 years, a massive, golden-plated naked man stands over the year with a scythe (a dream scenario for any true movie fan, or fan of life, really), ready to separate the strong from the weak--or, because it's Oscar, the challenging, interesting, and fun movies from Being the Ricardos (and no points for guessing which gets all the Oscar nominations) (take me, hounds of hell). 

Honestly though, the slate of probable nominations to be expected this year isn't too bad, with plenty of interesting, challenging, and fun movies vying for the top prizes, and only a handful of dubious picks getting in their way. Hell, a full half of my own top 10 should (hopefully) show up somewhere in the morning, with only one of my bottom five similarly positioned (proving that last year, in which none of my least favorite movies of the year threatened for best picture, was a delight but an anomaly). And this feat--a strong slate of best picture contenders--already something of a rarity in itself, is even more impressive, given this is the shortest Oscar year in history. After last year's eligibility period was extended until February 28th, 2021, this year's Oscars honor films from March 1st-December 31st, 2021, the only Oscar year on the books that is a 'year' in name only. 

The shortened time span, however, shouldn't suggest that the race is more settled, or has fewer contenders, as so many of the categories this year threaten to be absolutely bananas. While the Academy might err toward the familiar and stick with a few already heavily lauded favorites, they might also take a cue from Roland Emmerich's picture book and drop an entire-ass Moon onto the world (which, uh, is one surefire way to shake up the Oscar race). Point is, things--unlike the moon--are still up in the air. 

Until the moon does come to claim us all, however, I'll go ahead and dump all my predictions at once in one profoundly upsetting dogpile. Bear in mind that I try to predict for fun as much as for accuracy--there are plenty of places to go on the internet if you're looking for mathematical precision, but only so many if you're looking for maudlin intros and Moonfall jokes followed by slack-jawed silliness. And let me tell you, I am all out of math, but I've got plenty of Moonfall left, so strap in.

(note: all the predictions are ranked in order of likelihood--so the first movie listed is the most likely, the second the next most likely, and so on.)


Best Picture
The Power of the Dog
Belfast
West Side Story
King Richard
Licorice Pizza
Dune
CODA
Don't Look Up
Drive My Car
House of Gucci
Alternate: Being the Ricardos

This year will be the first year since 2010 that the Academy abandons its sliding scale method of nominations in this category, in which the number of nominees fluctuated between 5 and 10, based on the amount of voter passion (i.e. #1 votes) each film had. This year will have a guaranteed nominees, and it's tough to guess exactly how that'll effect proceedings. If there were a sliding number of nominees, then we could confidently predict that the top eight (Power of the Dog through Don't Look Up) would be the only eight moving forward. Given there are two more slots to fill, however, we get a Rollerball deathmatch for the final two slots between a solid half dozen movies, none of which feel entirely plausible. It's absolutely absurd of me to not predict Being the Ricardos, a film which has strong guild support and has Aaron Sorkin behind it--an Academy favorite. But I hate the film with a blinding passion, and this is my sandbox, so I get to un-manifest it's Oscar glory for as long as I can. The exact argument has be pushing Drive My Car, a film I deeply love, into the top 10, though its path to a nomination is certainly fraught. Lin-Manuel Miranda's Tick Tick Boom has a strong chance, based on its precursor award success, as does The Tragedy of Macbeth, which is a critically well-received Coen movie (though that's something I think other Oscar bloggers are leaning into a little too hard, given there are plenty of acclaimed Coen movies lying dead at Oscar's gates). And you can flip a coin whether residual love for Guillermo Del Toro or respect for debut director Maggie Gyllenhaal will get either Nightmare Alley or The Lost Daughter, respectively, into the top 10. So why, then, am I campy shitshow punchline House of Gucci to beat them all? Because it would be funny, honestly. But also because (some) people still respect Ridley Scott, and it seems silly to talk about Gucci for all the nominations I'm about to without believing that it can land here, and because it was more or less the only financially successful non-genre theatrical release aimed at adults this year. Come on, you know you want to watch half the internet's brains melt when this happens.

Director
Jane Campion-The Power of the Dog
Paul Thomas Anderson-Licorice Pizza
Kenneth Branagh-Belfast
Steven Spielberg-West Side Story
Adam McKay-Don't Look Up
Alternate: Denis Villeneuve-Dune

It's probably extremely silly of me to predict a Villeneuve snub--the champion of the internet, the box office, and Arrakis--but none of those entities votes for Oscars (maybe Arrakis). But Campion is a lock, Licorice Pizza has had a huge surge, and people love the film, Belfast was the day-one frontrunner, and hasn't lost near as much steam as it ought to have. Spielberg could certainly be the surprise snub, West Side Story having performed much more poorly than expected in the precursor award circuit (and, to a lesser extent, at the box office). But I'm banking on respect for him and his style of filmmaking to carry the day. Which leaves McKay, a seemingly incomprehensible pick on my part. But hear me out: all of his 'serious' films have overperformed at the Oscars; remember Vice getting 8 Oscar noms? And Vice was much less respected or popular than Don't Look Up, which, somehow, captured some sliver of zeitgeist over the past couple months. And while Dune and Don't Look Up are very different iterations of sci-fi, I'm going out on a limb and guessing that they only have room for one, and they'll pick the guy they've showered with baffling attention before. Look for Ryuche Hamaguchi/Drive My Car or Joel Coen/The Tragedy of Macbeth to surprise if there's a snub and McKay doesn't take the spot, but those seem like the only plausible choices. Beyond that, throw a dart (which is basically what the Academy did last year with Thomas Vinterberg, so you never know).

Actress
Nicole Kidman-Being the Ricardos
Olivia Colman-The Lost Daughter
Lady Gaga-House of Gucci
Kristen Stewart-Diana
Alana Haim-Licorice Pizza
Alternate: Penelope Cruz-Parallel Mothers

A combative and disturbed category, in which the top two women are safe, and everyone else is potentially food for the lions. Diana's chances have been spiraling in every category, including and especially this one, with one-time frontrunner Stewart barely clinging on, but I'll vote with my heart and assume she gets in. It's trendy to have Cruz in the top 5, and I'd love to see it happen, but I think Licorice Pizza love brings Haim over the top (especially since there aren't too many places to plausibly honor that film). Jessica Chastain in The Eyes of Tammy Faye would be a stereotypically on-point choice for the Academy, as would Jennifer Hudson in Respect, both playing real people in the Academy's favorite genre (the biopic). I'm dubious about Chastain's chances, but less so about Hudson--hearing her name on Oscar morning wouldn't be a surprise.

Actor
Will Smith-King Richard
Benedict Cumberbatch-The Power of the Dog
Andrew Garfield-Tick Tick Boom
Denzel Washington-The Tragedy of Macbeth
Leonardo Dicaprio-Don't Look Up
Alternate: Javier Bardem-Being the Ricardos

Reasonably confident about the first four slots, with the last being anyone's guess. Bardem has come perilously, unreasonably close to locking that spot up (anyone's guess why, I suppose), and it'd be smart to pick him, but I'll keep pushing the narrative that Don't Look Up's is being underestimated. If the Academy feels like they want to sit at the cool kids' table, they might spring for Nicholas Cage/Pig, Hidetoshi Nishijima/Drive My Car, or Peter Dinklage/Cyrano, but I think any of those three men will have trouble muscling past the bigger prestige choices.

Supporting Actress
Ariana DeBose-West Side Story
Kirsten Dunst-The Power of the Dog
Caitrona Balfe-Belfast
Aunjanue Ellis-King Richard
Ruth Negga-Passing
Alternate: Marlee Matlin-CODA

Though I'm not entirely confident about the last three in that list, I'm even less confident in their competitors, so there you go. I almost went with a no guts/no glory pick with Meryl Streep in Don't Look Up (save us), but I figured that that film's love can (hopefully) only travel so far. Anne Dowd/Mass and Cate Blanchett/Nightmare Alley are both still plausible, certainly, but I can't help but assume that the best picture strength of the top four actresses' films (with Negga as the highbrow choice) is enough to keep this list of five set.

Supporting Actor
Kodi Smit-McPhee-The Power of the Dog
Troy Kotsur-CODA
Ciaran Hinds-Belfast
Jared Leto-House of Gucci
Jesse Plemons-The Power of the Dog
Alternate: Bradley Cooper-Licorice Pizza

Ok, I came this close to yet again predicting another unlikely instance of Ben Affleck (The Tender Bar) sliding in just because he's Ben Affleck, and he looks like he's been through a lot and came out the other side living his best life, but I just couldn't believe it. So instead, I swapped him last minute with Jesse Plemons in The Power of the Dog, who could be barreling toward a Jacki Weaver-esque coattails nomination where the entire main cast gets nominated  lI guess I should be mad that Jared Leto's Waluigi/Chefboyardee impression will get in here, but I'm just not. Cooper is a very likely choice to upset any of the bottom three I've listed. If you're looking for less obvious spoilers (and both Ciaran Hinds and Leto aren't as strong as they could be), Mike Faist/West Side Story has some real support, as does Jamie Dornan/Belfast (though there's no way that Dornan gets in without Hinds getting in as well). We'll just have to wait and see how hunky the acting branch wants this lineup to be.

Original Screenplay
Licorice Pizza
Don't Look Up
Belfast
King Richard
Being the Ricardos
Alternate: Parallel Mothers

This easily feels like the most locked category to me. Can't see any of the immediate contenders (the aforementioned Mothers, A Hero, C'mon C'mon, Mass, The French Dispatch) cracking the list without one of the top five having a hugely catastrophic morning--though King Richard's momentum has been flagging, and Being the Ricardos is dumb and bad, so that's not outside the realm of possibility.

Adapted Screenplay
The Power of the Dog
The Lost Daughter
CODA
Dune
Drive My Car
Alternate: West Side Story

It makes no sense to predict that Dune gets in here, but not director, while West Side Story does the exact opposite (obviously I should pick one to get both), but I'm banking on how tough it can be for a musical to get recognition for its screenplay, and West Side Story's chances have been looking a little wobbly of late. I had a horrible, tremulous impulse to predict The Last Duel, and almost acted on it, but in my old age I've learned a little impulse control, and will be doing my best not to speak that thought into reality.

Production Design
Dune
Nightmare Alley
West Side Story
The French Dispatch
Licorice Pizza
Alternate: The Power of the Dog

Licorice Pizza feels like the kind of loving, lived-in work on a best picture nominee that seems like an obvious nominee in retrospect, even if no one predicts it. Look for Power of the Dog or Belfast to score here if they have big mornings, or The Tragedy of Macbeth, which is my pick for the obvious nominee that gets left off come nominations morning.

Costume Design
Cruella
Dune
House of Gucci
Cyrano
The Green Knight
Alternate: West Side Story

Have I gone a bit wacky here? Maybe, but this branch likes to get a little wacky. Cyrano feels like a likely sole nominee here, and I'm desperately hoping that the costumers feel like doing something cool and rewarding The Green Knight's spectacular but little-discussed medieval duds. Maybe a mistake to leave out West Side Story here, but that movie's buzz has been disappearing like nobody's business. Look for Spencer or Nightmare Alley to be surprise-but-not-really-a-surprise nominees.

Visual Effects
Dune
Spider-Man: No Way Home
Godzilla vs. Kong
Free Guy
No Time to Die
Alternate: The Matrix Resurrections

Probably a fool's errand to bet against Matrix here, but I am a fool, and I have a ton of errands. Predicting/hoping that only one of the four Marvel films from this year gets in, though Eternals would be an easy pick. Note: this category has already been narrowed down to a 10 film shortlist. The other finalists are Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings, Ghostbusters: Afterlife, and Black Widow.

Makeup and Hairstyling
Dune
Cruella
House of Gucci
Nightmare Alley
Coming 2 America
Alternate: The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Tough and arbitrary, like throwing jell-o so it lands on a ceiling fan. Only Dune really seems safe, though Cruella and House of Gucci are good bets. I'm picking Coming 2 America for this year's 'wait, what?' curveball that this category loves to throw, and am hoping that the malevolent Cabbage Patch antics of Tammy Faye will stay buried. I don't really believe Nightmare Alley gets the nom here, but honestly, I can't make a logical argument for anything else, based on the calls I've already made, so in it goes. Note: this category has also been narrowed down to a 10-film shortlist. The other finalists are West Side Story, Cyrano, The Suicide Squad, and No Time to Die.

Film Editing
Dune
The Power of the Dog
Don't Look Up
West Side Story
Licorice Pizza
Alternate: Belfast

Betting that West Side Story's impressive crafts save it here, despite its diminished best picture strength, and that Belfast's slowing momentum shows itself. I desperately wanted to find a place for Tick Tick Boom in this category, but the editing branch almost never throws us surprise nominations--if it's not up for best picture, it's rarely here.

Cinematography
The Power of the Dog
Dune
The Tragedy of Macbeth
Belfast
West Side Story
Alternate: Nightmare Alley

Getting to be a similar story here: I'm not confident about West Side Story holding out in these categories, but I also don't necessarily believe that its competitors are strong enough to push past it. Is there enough love out there for Nightmare Alley or No Time to Die? Surely The Green Knight, The French Dispatch, and Spencer have all fallen by the wayside. Keep an eye on Passing, if the Academy wants to go whole hog for black and white lensing this year (joining Belfast and The Tragedy of Macbeth to make three black and white nominees, which would be the first time since....a while ago).

Original Score
Dune
The Power of the Dog
Don't Look Up
The French Dispatch
Candyman
Alternate: Encanto

Going waaaay out on a limb here to pick Candyman, but why not? It's a gorgeous and surprising score, and it already made the 15-film list of finalists in this category. Some voters are clearly listening, and if enough hear it, they'll surely include it on their ballot. I was tempted to remove The French Dispatch for something more exciting, but reminded myself that this branch is notoriously insular, and never include more than one first-time nominee per year. Since I used all my big shock energy with Candyman, I've got to stick with Dispatch/Desplat, one of their favorite composers. Still, look to Encanto, No Time to Die, or Parallel Mothers to fill its place, or Being the Ricardos if all my worst nightmares come true.

Sound
Dune
West Side Story
No Time to Die
The Power of the Dog
Last Night in Soho
Alternate: A Quiet Place Part 2

That Last Night in Soho call is a risk, but it showed up at the BAFTAs, and I've got a hunch. Plus, I'd been predicting that Belfast limped in on best picture strength alone, but if it's missing in film editing, then surely it misses here as well. Note: this is another category that's been narrowed down to a 10-film list. The other finalists are Spider-Man: No Way Home, The Matrix Resurrections, and Tick Tick Boom.

Original Song
"Be Alive"-King Richard
"Here I Am (Singing My Way Home)"-Respect
"Somehow You Do"-Four Good Days
"No Time to Die"-No Time to Die
"Dos Oruguitas"-Encanto
Alternate: "Just Look Up"-Don't Look Up

Honestly I've no idea in which direction to go with this category, so after spending a few minutes spinning around in circles under a blood moon, communing with the old gods, I've settled on a little chaos. Of course Diane Warren will appear for her latest crazed howl at the stars in Four Good Days, and good for her--I cherish Diane Warren's yearly opportunity to nourish herself on those sweet Oscar voter tears. Probably silly to have both Don't Look Up and Belfast missing here, but I feel fine about it.

Animated Film
Encanto
Luca
The Mitchells vs. The Machines
Belle
Sing 2
Alternate: Flee

Sheer perversity to pick Sing 2 over Flee, one of the most acclaimed films of the year, but the narrative of the next three categories is whether or not Flee can score in all three, and I've decided to end the suspense early. Besides, Sing 2 has had a shockingly big box office run, and has solid word of mouth too. Look for Disney's Raya and the Last Dragon or Ron's Gone Wrong to take one of the big studio slots, or for The Summit of the Gods or Poupelle of Chimney Town to take the international slot.

International Film
Drive My Car-Japan
Flee-Denmark
A Hero-Iran
The Hand of God-Italy
Great Freedom-Austria
Alternate: The Worst Person in the World-Norway

A real embarrassment of riches in this category, with acclaimed and buzzy titles like Norway's entry, Compartment No. 6/Finland, Prayers for the Stolen/Mexico, and I'm Your Man/Germany potentially on the outside looking in, as well as spoilers like Bhutan's Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom or Panama's Plaza Catedral. I don't really feel confident in any of my picks but Drive My Car, which is probably cruising (heh) to a win. But other than that, it could be total chaos come nomination morning.

Documentary Feature
Summer of Soul
Procession
The Rescue
Flee
Attica
Alternate: Ascension

Like every year, this category is by far my weakest--in terms of how much I've seen, how much I know, and how much enthusiasm I can muster. Rooting for the good movies! Kind of hoping the Billie Eilish documentary makes it, just to see some of the stuffier types throw a chair or two about having to talk about the academy award nominated Billy Eilish doc.


And there you have it! For those playing along at home, here are the movies I'm predicting will get the most nominations:

The Power of the Dog-11
Dune-10
West Side Story-7
Licorice Pizza-6
Belfast-6

I am absolutely over-predicting The Power of the Dog and under-predicting Belfast, but sometimes, dreams really do come true, and sometimes those dreams have to start with me being low-key shady to Kenneth Branagh on my blog.


Now, I know it's silly verging on ridiculous to log so many words about the Oscars while I haven't talked about my own picks--and those are coming soon! Sooner than you might think! And if that sounds like a threat, it is. But for now, if I could guarantee any nomination, it'd be Drive My Car getting in anywhere (though I'd love to see a rogue best actor nomination), and if I could deny any nomination, it'd be Javier Bardem's for Being the Ricardos (though really, the less that movie scores, the better). 

And that's it! Come tomorrow morning, all of these predictions will be meaningless, and I wouldn't have it any other way. I'll be back in the morning to unwrap the nominations and see how kind or cruel Academy Santa has been. Then we can see how wrong I was (very wrong, but that's kind of the point), and which movies the Academy will send me scrambling to watch before the ceremony!